ABSTRACT
Prokudin H.S., Khobotnia T.H., Tretynychenko Yu.O., Kopiak N.V. Application of Mixed Strategies when Managing International Freight Transportation Visnyk National Transport University. Series «Technical sciences». Scientific and Technical Collection. - Kyiv: National Transport University, 2021. - Issue 1 (48).
This article considers the use of the mathematical apparatus of the theory of games with nature to model such a socio-economic phenomenon as the process of international freight transportation when performing delivery by own and borrowed vehicles on Kyiv-Warsaw route. Calculations are made with the use of existing costs and tariffs for the selected direction of transportation.
The object of research is the process of international freight transportation management.
The purpose of the work is to study the peculiarities of decision-making with the use of mixed strategies.
The research method is the theory of statistical decisions, namely the theory of decision-making in the conditions of playing with nature.
The player, i.e. the person who will make the decision, is the company that performs the carriage of goods by road in international traffic and is fully responsible for organizing the process of delivery of goods by road on the route.
The situation is modeled using variants of various demand for transportation. This demand acts as the uncertainty of different variations of nature's strategies.
Recommendations are given for the application of four decision making criteria: Wald, Savage, Laplace and Hurwitz criteria. Appropriate calculations were performed and the obtained results were commented on, because each criterion offers a new solution to a given situation.
Calculations of application of mixed strategies are presented in the Excel spreadsheet.
KEY WORDS: GAME THEORY, DECISION MAKING CRITERIA, UNCERTAINTY CONDITIONS, RISK, STRATEGY, INTERNATIONAL FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION,
MATHEMATICAL MODEL, MIXED STRATEGIES.
REFERENCES
AUTHOR
Prokudin Heorhii S., National Transport University, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Head of the Department of International Transportation and Customs Control, e-mail: p_g_s@ukr.net, +38(063)32702-43, Ukraine, 01010, Kyiv, Omelianovycha-Pavlenka Str., 1, of. 430а, orcid.org/0000-0003-2077-5746
Khobotnia Tetiana H., National Transport University, Senior Lecturer of the Department of International Transportation and Customs Control, e-mail: evol_tanya@ukr.net, +38(097)977-29-29, Ukraine, 01010, Kyiv, Omelianovycha-Pavlenka Str., 1, of. 437, orcid.org/0000-0001-7094-6297
Tretynychenko Yurii O., National Transport University, Candidate of Sciences (Engineering), Associate Professor of the Department of Transport Law and Logistics, e-mail: yuriy.tretynychenko@gmail.com, +38(044)253-43-26, Ukraine, 01010, Kyiv, Omelianovycha-Pavlenka Str., 1, of. 439, orcid.org/0000-0002-3797-9035
Kopiak Nelia V., National Transport University, Senior Lecturer of the Department of Transport Technologies, e-mail: neliakopiak@ukr.net, +38(095)912-56-94, Ukraine, 01010, Kyiv, Omelianovycha- Pavlenka Str., 1, of. 432, orcid.org/0000-0001-8539-9193
REVIEWER
Miamlin S.V., Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Branch of the Research, Design and Technological Institute of Railway Transport, Deputy Director, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Polishchuk V.P., Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, National Transport University, Head of the Department of Transport Systems and Road Traffic Safety, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Article language: Ukrainian
Open Access: http://publications.ntu.edu.ua/visnyk/48/283-292.pdf
Print date: 15.03.2021
Online publication date: 05.04.2021